TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 9:03 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Thando Longwe-Smit and Nicolas Borgsten in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thando Longwe-Smit' if Thando Longwe-Smit advances against Nicolas Borgsten. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Borgsten' if Nicolas Borgsten advances against Thando Longwe-Smit. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Thando Longwe-Smit and Nicolas Borgsten in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thando Longwe-Smit' if Thando Longwe-Smit advances against Nicolas Borgsten. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Borgsten' if Nicolas Borgsten advances against Thando Longwe-Smit. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders believe a particular outcome is likely, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Thando Longwe-Smit versus Nicolas Borgsten tennis match, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result and settle the market accordingly.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or broader tennis news, could also play a role. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create short-term price movements. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to Nov 1, 2026.