TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 11:32 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ryotaro Taguchi and Michel Hopp in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ryotaro Taguchi' if Ryotaro Taguchi advances against Michel Hopp. This market will resolve to 'Michel Hopp' if Michel Hopp advances against Ryotaro Taguchi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ryotaro Taguchi and Michel Hopp in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ryotaro Taguchi' if Ryotaro Taguchi advances against Michel Hopp. This market will resolve to 'Michel Hopp' if Michel Hopp advances against Ryotaro Taguchi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Taguchi vs Hopp match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to incorporate new information and changing sentiment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price movements are driven by supply and demand, with higher demand pushing prices up and indicating increased confidence in a particular outcome.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Taguchi vs Hopp match, as reported by the official tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding the physical condition of either Ryotaro Taguchi or Michel Hopp, such as injuries or illness, would likely impact trading activity. Updates on their recent performance in other matches, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions at the event location could also influence the market. Unexpected announcements related to the match schedule or venue could also cause price fluctuations in this market as traders react to new information.