TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 9:32 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ruben Hartig and Artjoms Afanasjevs in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ruben Hartig' if Ruben Hartig advances against Artjoms Afanasjevs. This market will resolve to 'Artjoms Afanasjevs' if Artjoms Afanasjevs advances against Ruben Hartig. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ruben Hartig and Artjoms Afanasjevs in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ruben Hartig' if Ruben Hartig advances against Artjoms Afanasjevs. This market will resolve to 'Artjoms Afanasjevs' if Artjoms Afanasjevs advances against Ruben Hartig. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists, it might indicate that the market perceives information differently than sportsbooks, or that there's an arbitrage opportunity. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than sportsbooks, especially in response to breaking news or shifts in public opinion about the Hartig vs Afanasjevs match.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Heraklion tennis match between Ruben Hartig and Artjoms Afanasjevs. The platform will verify the winner against publicly available and trusted sources to determine the final settlement of this market. Traders should monitor official tennis results leading up to and following the match date to understand how resolution will be determined.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. News regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could all have an impact. Unexpected upsets in other matches featuring either player could also affect confidence levels. Even seemingly minor developments, such as weather forecasts or comments from coaches, could trigger trading activity. Any information that alters perceptions of the relative strengths of Hartig and Afanasjevs has the potential to move this market significantly before Nov 2, 2026.