TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 12:32 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Rishit Dakhane and Jakub Vrtilka in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rishit Dakhane' if Rishit Dakhane advances against Jakub Vrtilka. This market will resolve to 'Jakub Vrtilka' if Jakub Vrtilka advances against Rishit Dakhane. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Rishit Dakhane and Jakub Vrtilka in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rishit Dakhane' if Rishit Dakhane advances against Jakub Vrtilka. This market will resolve to 'Jakub Vrtilka' if Jakub Vrtilka advances against Rishit Dakhane. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous exchange where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand among traders on the Polymarket exchange, and is not influenced by external factors or a central authority.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Heraklion tennis match between Rishit Dakhane and Jakub Vrtilka. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available match results, ensuring a transparent and accurate determination of the market’s outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader tennis news, could also play a role. Additionally, large trades on Polymarket by influential traders could create short-term price movements, as others react to their actions. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how the market evolves leading up to Oct 18, 2026.