TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

Markets across

40,428

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Sports
M15 Heraklion: Rafael Giotis vs Sten Hiiesalu
polymarket

What is the result of Rafael Giotis vs Sten Hiiesalu?

Volume:
N/A

M15 Heraklion: Rafael Giotis vs Sten Hiiesalu

 - Polymarket

M15 Heraklion: Rafael Giotis vs Sten Hiiesalu - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 10:32 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

M15 Heraklion: Rafael Giotis vs Sten Hiiesalu

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Completed Match

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M15 Heraklion: Rafael Giotis vs Sten Hiiesalu Set 1 Winner

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M15 Heraklion: Rafael Giotis vs Sten Hiiesalu Set 2 Winner

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M15 Heraklion: Rafael Giotis vs Sten Hiiesalu Total Sets: O/U 2.5

0%
100%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

M15 Heraklion: Rafael Giotis vs Sten Hiiesalu Set 1 O/U 8.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M15 Heraklion: Rafael Giotis vs Sten Hiiesalu Set 1 O/U 9.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M15 Heraklion: Rafael Giotis vs Sten Hiiesalu Set 1 O/U 10.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M15 Heraklion: Rafael Giotis vs Sten Hiiesalu Set 2 O/U 8.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M15 Heraklion: Rafael Giotis vs Sten Hiiesalu Set 2 O/U 9.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M15 Heraklion: Rafael Giotis vs Sten Hiiesalu Set 2 O/U 10.5

0%
100%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

M15 Heraklion: Rafael Giotis vs Sten Hiiesalu Match O/U 21.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M15 Heraklion: Rafael Giotis vs Sten Hiiesalu Match O/U 22.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M15 Heraklion: Rafael Giotis vs Sten Hiiesalu Match O/U 23.5

0%
100%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

M15 Heraklion: Rafael Giotis vs Sten Hiiesalu Set Handicap +/-1.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M15 Heraklion: Rafael Giotis vs Sten Hiiesalu Set Handicap +/-1.5

0%
100%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 16

Description

This market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Giotis and Sten Hiiesalu in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Giotis' if Rafael Giotis advances against Sten Hiiesalu. This market will resolve to 'Sten Hiiesalu' if Sten Hiiesalu advances against Rafael Giotis. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Giotis and Sten Hiiesalu in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Giotis' if Rafael Giotis advances against Sten Hiiesalu. This market will resolve to 'Sten Hiiesalu' if Sten Hiiesalu advances against Rafael Giotis. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven purely by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs, potentially leading to different probabilities assigned to each outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the unique dynamics of each market. Examining these differences can be insightful for informed decision-making.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the potential result of the Giotis vs Hiiesalu match. This allows for a fluid adjustment of expectations as new information becomes available.

This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Heraklion tennis match between Rafael Giotis and Sten Hiiesalu. The platform will rely on widely accepted sources to determine the winner of the match, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process. Traders should monitor official tennis reporting channels for updates as the resolution date approaches, as this will determine the payout of their shares in this market.

Several signals could influence the price of this market before Oct 11, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or broader trends in the tennis world, might also impact trading activity. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants on Polymarket could create short-term price movements. Monitoring tennis news, player statistics, and market activity will be crucial for understanding potential catalysts that could move this market.