TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 10:19 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Giotis and Martin Soukal in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Giotis' if Rafael Giotis advances against Martin Soukal. This market will resolve to 'Martin Soukal' if Martin Soukal advances against Rafael Giotis. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Giotis and Martin Soukal in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Giotis' if Rafael Giotis advances against Martin Soukal. This market will resolve to 'Martin Soukal' if Martin Soukal advances against Rafael Giotis. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Giotis vs Soukal match. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, providing a real-time assessment of the match’s likely result.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Heraklion tennis match between Rafael Giotis and Martin Soukal. The platform will verify the winner through official tournament results and reporting, ensuring a transparent and accurate resolution process. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout of 1 USDC per share, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will receive 0 USDC.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before Oct 19, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or unexpected match-day developments could significantly shift market sentiment. Furthermore, updates on player form, recent performance, or head-to-head records could also impact trading activity. Even broader factors, such as weather forecasts affecting outdoor court conditions, could play a role. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential price movements and making informed trading decisions.