TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 12:35 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Pavlos Tsitsipas and Erik Johansson in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pavlos Tsitsipas' if Pavlos Tsitsipas advances against Erik Johansson. This market will resolve to 'Erik Johansson' if Erik Johansson advances against Pavlos Tsitsipas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Pavlos Tsitsipas and Erik Johansson in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pavlos Tsitsipas' if Pavlos Tsitsipas advances against Erik Johansson. This market will resolve to 'Erik Johansson' if Erik Johansson advances against Pavlos Tsitsipas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, reflecting a higher perceived chance of success. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is entirely determined by supply and demand; there are no external factors influencing the valuation. This creates a dynamic and responsive market reflecting collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Tsitsipas vs Johansson match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing surface conditions, or unexpected performance in prior matches could significantly shift trader sentiment. Major upsets in other matches within the tournament could also impact perceptions of player form and confidence. Furthermore, analysis from tennis experts and updated betting odds from sportsbooks can also contribute to price movements. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in this market’s price.