TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$244,077,041
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,901,278,909
407,043
Markets across
39,548
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,422
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 6:09 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Pavlos Tsitsipas and Alexandre Aubriot in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pavlos Tsitsipas' if Pavlos Tsitsipas advances against Alexandre Aubriot. This market will resolve to 'Alexandre Aubriot' if Alexandre Aubriot advances against Pavlos Tsitsipas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Pavlos Tsitsipas and Alexandre Aubriot in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pavlos Tsitsipas' if Pavlos Tsitsipas advances against Alexandre Aubriot. This market will resolve to 'Alexandre Aubriot' if Alexandre Aubriot advances against Pavlos Tsitsipas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and opinions from traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing risk assessments, biases, or the influence of late-breaking news. It's common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information than sportsbooks, potentially offering different value depending on your perspective.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be determined by the official result of the Tsitsipas vs Aubriot match, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome wins and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 28, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public sentiment could cause traders to adjust their positions. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or even commentary from tennis analysts, could also impact trading activity. A strong performance by either player in a preceding tournament could also lead to a shift in probabilities as traders reassess their predictions.