TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 8:52 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Patrick Jozwicki and Marco Bavaro in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Patrick Jozwicki' if Patrick Jozwicki advances against Marco Bavaro. This market will resolve to 'Marco Bavaro' if Marco Bavaro advances against Patrick Jozwicki. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Patrick Jozwicki and Marco Bavaro in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Patrick Jozwicki' if Patrick Jozwicki advances against Marco Bavaro. This market will resolve to 'Marco Bavaro' if Marco Bavaro advances against Patrick Jozwicki. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the views of many individuals with varying levels of knowledge. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Analyzing these differences can provide valuable insights into public perception and potential value opportunities, though this market is driven by traders' views, not necessarily statistical probabilities.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Heraklion tennis match between Patrick Jozwicki and Marco Bavaro, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against established sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the tournament, or broader trends in tennis performance, might also play a role. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could cause noticeable price movements. Monitoring tennis news and observing trading volume on Polymarket will be key to understanding potential catalysts that could affect this market.