TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 12:38 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Parv Patel and William Nolan in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Parv Patel' if Parv Patel advances against William Nolan. This market will resolve to 'William Nolan' if William Nolan advances against Parv Patel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Parv Patel and William Nolan in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Parv Patel' if Parv Patel advances against William Nolan. This market will resolve to 'William Nolan' if William Nolan advances against Parv Patel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. The current price indicates the market’s expectation of who will win the Patel vs Nolan match, and the volume traded shows the level of interest in this particular outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Heraklion match between Parv Patel and William Nolan. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available sources, such as official tournament results or sports news outlets. The final price of shares in this market will reflect the actual outcome of the match.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about strategy or team composition could also have an impact. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket itself can cause price movements as traders react to new information or attempt to capitalize on perceived mispricings. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential shifts in market sentiment.