TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 6:29 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Parv Patel and Martin Soukal in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Parv Patel' if Parv Patel advances against Martin Soukal. This market will resolve to 'Martin Soukal' if Martin Soukal advances against Parv Patel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Parv Patel and Martin Soukal in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Parv Patel' if Parv Patel advances against Martin Soukal. This market will resolve to 'Martin Soukal' if Martin Soukal advances against Parv Patel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy emerges between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds, it may indicate that the crowd perceives information differently than the bookmakers, or that one venue has more informed traders. It’s important to consider both sources when forming your own opinion.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Patel vs Soukal match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability estimate. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the collective assessment of all participants, and changes in volume or significant trades can quickly shift the odds. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to new information and evolving expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Patel vs Soukal match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The platform will rely on official tournament results to determine the winning outcome. It’s important to note that the resolution process is dependent on the availability of official and reliable data sources. Traders should monitor official channels for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected upsets in other matches leading up to the Patel vs Soukal match could also impact the perceived likelihood of either player winning. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket by informed traders can create momentum and quickly move the market, reflecting new insights or strategic positioning.