TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 9:40 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Pablo Perez Ramos and Thando Longwe-Smit in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pablo Perez Ramos' if Pablo Perez Ramos advances against Thando Longwe-Smit. This market will resolve to 'Thando Longwe-Smit' if Thando Longwe-Smit advances against Pablo Perez Ramos. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Pablo Perez Ramos and Thando Longwe-Smit in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pablo Perez Ramos' if Pablo Perez Ramos advances against Thando Longwe-Smit. This market will resolve to 'Thando Longwe-Smit' if Thando Longwe-Smit advances against Pablo Perez Ramos. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or risk assessments. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, especially regarding late-breaking news or changes in player form. Comparing the two can provide a more comprehensive view of the likely outcome.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Perez Ramos vs Longwe-Smit match, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual winner of the match. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing surface conditions, or unexpected weather forecasts could significantly shift trader sentiment. Updates on player form, recent match results, or even psychological factors like player confidence could also play a role. Major upsets in other matches within the M15 Heraklion tournament might also indirectly affect the perceived probabilities. Monitoring these signals and assessing their potential impact on the match outcome is crucial for informed trading in this market.