TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 9:14 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Pablo Perez Ramos and Dan Brand in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pablo Perez Ramos' if Pablo Perez Ramos advances against Dan Brand. This market will resolve to 'Dan Brand' if Dan Brand advances against Pablo Perez Ramos. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Pablo Perez Ramos and Dan Brand in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pablo Perez Ramos' if Pablo Perez Ramos advances against Dan Brand. This market will resolve to 'Dan Brand' if Dan Brand advances against Pablo Perez Ramos. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of each venue. If you find a significant difference between the odds on Polymarket and those offered by sportsbooks, it might indicate an opportunity to exploit a perceived mispricing, assuming you have a strong conviction about the true probability of an outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where shares are bought and sold, adjusting the price based on supply and demand. The price of a share representing a particular outcome reflects the market's assessment of its probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders believe a certain outcome is likely, the price of its corresponding shares will increase, and vice-versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds continuously adapt to new information and changing sentiment surrounding the Perez Ramos vs Brand match.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Heraklion match between Pablo Perez Ramos and Dan Brand. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Nov 5, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or even weather forecasts impacting the match could also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants can create momentum and drive price movements, so monitoring the trading volume and order book activity on Polymarket can provide valuable insights.