TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 5:36 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Omer Eshkol Bruck and Georgios Nouchakis in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Omer Eshkol Bruck' if Omer Eshkol Bruck advances against Georgios Nouchakis. This market will resolve to 'Georgios Nouchakis' if Georgios Nouchakis advances against Omer Eshkol Bruck. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Omer Eshkol Bruck and Georgios Nouchakis in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Omer Eshkol Bruck' if Omer Eshkol Bruck advances against Georgios Nouchakis. This market will resolve to 'Georgios Nouchakis' if Georgios Nouchakis advances against Omer Eshkol Bruck. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The current implied probability of a particular outcome is determined by the share price relative to 1; a price of 0.75 suggests a 75% probability.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the match between Omer Eshkol Bruck and Georgios Nouchakis in Heraklion. The platform will verify the result against widely available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather), or updates on their recent performance could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader shifts in tennis rankings, might also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in outlook, causing the market to react swiftly.