TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 9:09 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Odysseas Geladaris and Finn Murgett in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Odysseas Geladaris' if Odysseas Geladaris advances against Finn Murgett. This market will resolve to 'Finn Murgett' if Finn Murgett advances against Odysseas Geladaris. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Odysseas Geladaris and Finn Murgett in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Odysseas Geladaris' if Odysseas Geladaris advances against Finn Murgett. This market will resolve to 'Finn Murgett' if Finn Murgett advances against Odysseas Geladaris. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines to balance action on both sides and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the outcome. If there’s a significant discrepancy, it could indicate that prediction market participants have access to information or insights not fully considered by sportsbooks, or simply a different assessment of the probabilities involved in the Geladaris vs Murgett match. It’s a useful comparison point for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Geladaris vs Murgett match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, creating a dynamic and responsive market. The current price indicates what the collective market intelligence believes is the likelihood of a particular result.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Geladaris vs Murgett match as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 20, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions for either Odysseas Geladaris or Finn Murgett could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also have an impact. Furthermore, major upsets in related matches or tournaments might lead traders to reassess their probabilities, causing fluctuations in volume and price. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding potential market movements.