TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 12:38 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Nikolaos Chatziavraam and Snir Morag in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nikolaos Chatziavraam' if Nikolaos Chatziavraam advances against Snir Morag. This market will resolve to 'Snir Morag' if Snir Morag advances against Nikolaos Chatziavraam. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Nikolaos Chatziavraam and Snir Morag in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nikolaos Chatziavraam' if Nikolaos Chatziavraam advances against Snir Morag. This market will resolve to 'Snir Morag' if Snir Morag advances against Nikolaos Chatziavraam. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the market's consensus view. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will adjust accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of the potential winner of the Heraklion tennis match. The current implied probability of a specific outcome is influenced by the ongoing trading activity.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Heraklion tennis match between Nikolaos Chatziavraam and Snir Morag. The platform will verify the winner based on information released by official tournament organizers and widely reported by sports news outlets. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to the event, or even general shifts in public opinion, could also play a role. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket by influential traders could create short-term price movements, reflecting their conviction about the likely winner of the Heraklion tennis match.