TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 11:03 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Nikita Mashtakov and Benjamin Pietri in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nikita Mashtakov' if Nikita Mashtakov advances against Benjamin Pietri. This market will resolve to 'Benjamin Pietri' if Benjamin Pietri advances against Nikita Mashtakov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Nikita Mashtakov and Benjamin Pietri in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nikita Mashtakov' if Nikita Mashtakov advances against Benjamin Pietri. This market will resolve to 'Benjamin Pietri' if Benjamin Pietri advances against Nikita Mashtakov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and risk assessment, while this market aggregates the views of many individuals. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in opinion. It's common to see prediction market odds move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available or as the event draws closer. Analyzing these differences can be a valuable strategy for informed betting.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event's potential results. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, and is not influenced by external factors or other prediction markets.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Mashtakov vs Pietri match, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against reliable sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. The exact payout will depend on the market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements about player strategies or coaching changes might also move the market. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal shifts in sentiment and drive price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments is crucial for understanding potential market movements.