TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 12:26 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Nikita Belozertsev and Anuj Watane in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nikita Belozertsev' if Nikita Belozertsev advances against Anuj Watane. This market will resolve to 'Anuj Watane' if Anuj Watane advances against Nikita Belozertsev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Nikita Belozertsev and Anuj Watane in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nikita Belozertsev' if Nikita Belozertsev advances against Anuj Watane. This market will resolve to 'Anuj Watane' if Anuj Watane advances against Nikita Belozertsev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market is driven purely by traders’ willingness to buy or sell based on their individual assessments. If there’s a significant discrepancy, it could indicate that the market perceives information differently than the sportsbook, or that one venue has attracted a disproportionate amount of informed traders. It's important to compare and contrast to form your own informed opinion.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants. The current price movements are driven by the flow of funds and the evolving expectations of traders.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Belozertsev vs Watane match, as reported by official sources. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner. Traders who held shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated match previews could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player form or strategic changes could also have a significant impact. Furthermore, large trades by informed individuals or groups could create short-term price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals and analyzing their potential impact on the match outcome is crucial for making informed trading decisions in this market.