TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 7:56 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Nicolas Borgsten and Umberto G. Capitanio in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Borgsten' if Nicolas Borgsten advances against Umberto G. Capitanio. This market will resolve to 'Umberto G. Capitanio' if Umberto G. Capitanio advances against Nicolas Borgsten. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Nicolas Borgsten and Umberto G. Capitanio in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Borgsten' if Nicolas Borgsten advances against Umberto G. Capitanio. This market will resolve to 'Umberto G. Capitanio' if Umberto G. Capitanio advances against Nicolas Borgsten. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a specific player, the price of those shares increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability of victory. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic process ensures the market odds constantly adjust to incorporate new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Nicolas Borgsten versus Umberto G. Capitanio match in Heraklion. The winner of the match, as declared by the official tournament organizers, will determine the winning outcome in this market. Any potential disputes or challenges to the official result will be considered based on publicly available information and established tournament rules.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market before resolution. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (weather, court surface), or even updates on player form could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even comments from analysts and experts, could also trigger significant movement. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning the Heraklion tennis match is likely to be reflected in the market price.