TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 7:30 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Michel Hopp and Alexander Vasilev in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michel Hopp' if Michel Hopp advances against Alexander Vasilev. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Vasilev' if Alexander Vasilev advances against Michel Hopp. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Michel Hopp and Alexander Vasilev in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michel Hopp' if Michel Hopp advances against Alexander Vasilev. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Vasilev' if Alexander Vasilev advances against Michel Hopp. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal analysis, whereas this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Analyzing these differences can be insightful, as prediction markets sometimes anticipate outcomes more accurately than traditional odds, though past performance is not indicative of future results.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing adjusts in real-time based on supply and demand, reflecting the aggregated predictions of all participants. The current price of shares indicates the market's collective assessment of the likelihood of each player winning the match.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Michel Hopp vs Alexander Vasilev match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will settle. The process ensures a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before Nov 5, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or tactical adjustments announced by either player could shift expectations. Significant media coverage or expert analysis predicting a specific outcome could also impact trading activity. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or shifts in public sentiment, might also lead to price movements. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding how this market evolves as the event draws closer.