TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 2:02 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Michalis Sakellaridis and Peter Makk in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michalis Sakellaridis' if Michalis Sakellaridis advances against Peter Makk. This market will resolve to 'Peter Makk' if Peter Makk advances against Michalis Sakellaridis. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Michalis Sakellaridis and Peter Makk in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michalis Sakellaridis' if Michalis Sakellaridis advances against Peter Makk. This market will resolve to 'Peter Makk' if Peter Makk advances against Michalis Sakellaridis. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while Polymarket allows traders to directly assess probabilities. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public opinion strongly deviates from expert analysis. If a large number of traders believe one outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the odds on Polymarket will adjust accordingly. Comparing these odds can reveal valuable insights into the wisdom of the crowd versus professional oddsmakers for the Sakellaridis vs Makk match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market efficiently incorporates new information as it becomes available, leading to dynamic price adjustments. This creates a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each possible result in the Sakellaridis vs Makk match.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sakellaridis vs Makk match, as determined by the governing body of the competition. Any official announcements regarding the match's completion and the declared winner will serve as the basis for settling the market. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches, ensuring they are aware of the definitive result that will determine the market’s outcome.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even pre-match analysis from respected tennis commentators could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or broader trends in tournament performance, could also play a role. Major shifts in public opinion, driven by social media or news coverage, could also impact the volume and pricing within this market. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential movements in the Sakellaridis vs Makk match.