TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 8:54 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Matyas Kozlovsky and Gilberto Ravasio in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matyas Kozlovsky' if Matyas Kozlovsky advances against Gilberto Ravasio. This market will resolve to 'Gilberto Ravasio' if Gilberto Ravasio advances against Matyas Kozlovsky. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Matyas Kozlovsky and Gilberto Ravasio in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matyas Kozlovsky' if Matyas Kozlovsky advances against Gilberto Ravasio. This market will resolve to 'Gilberto Ravasio' if Gilberto Ravasio advances against Matyas Kozlovsky. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective intelligence of traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it may indicate that traders possess information not yet fully priced into the sportsbook odds, or that differing opinions on the probabilities are present. It's important to compare and contrast to form a well-rounded view.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Kozlovsky vs Ravasio match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of the event occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to represent the aggregated prediction. Higher demand for shares in a particular outcome will drive up its price, indicating a greater perceived likelihood of that outcome.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Kozlovsky vs Ravasio match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be paid out according to the final share price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding player form, injuries to either Kozlovsky or Ravasio, or changes in playing surface conditions could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to the event, or even weather forecasts affecting the match schedule, might also play a role. Any information perceived to alter the probability of either player winning is likely to cause movement in the price of shares within this market.