TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 11:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Matyas Fuele and Thomas Kostka in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matyas Fuele' if Matyas Fuele advances against Thomas Kostka. This market will resolve to 'Thomas Kostka' if Thomas Kostka advances against Matyas Fuele. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Matyas Fuele and Thomas Kostka in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matyas Fuele' if Matyas Fuele advances against Thomas Kostka. This market will resolve to 'Thomas Kostka' if Thomas Kostka advances against Matyas Fuele. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own research and insights. If there is a significant discrepancy between the two, it may indicate that the market perceives information differently than the sportsbook, or that one venue has more informed traders. It's important to consider both sources when forming your own opinion about the likely outcome of the Fuele vs Kostka match.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Fuele vs Kostka match as reported by the governing tennis body. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner. Traders who held shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those who held shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several signals could influence the price of this market before Oct 21, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to the Fuele vs Kostka match may also affect perceived probabilities. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion or analysis from tennis experts could also drive price movement. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding how this market evolves in the days leading up to the event.