TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 6:56 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Matyas Fuele and Martin Soukal in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matyas Fuele' if Matyas Fuele advances against Martin Soukal. This market will resolve to 'Martin Soukal' if Martin Soukal advances against Matyas Fuele. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Matyas Fuele and Martin Soukal in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matyas Fuele' if Matyas Fuele advances against Martin Soukal. This market will resolve to 'Martin Soukal' if Martin Soukal advances against Matyas Fuele. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their view. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can trade in a way that moves the prediction market price closer to their collective assessment. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of trading occurs, as the market aggregates information from many sources.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Fuele vs Soukal match. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will adjust accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of the match's potential result. The current price indicates what the collective market believes is the likelihood of a particular player winning.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Fuele vs Soukal match, as declared by the governing tennis authorities. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual winner of the match. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final result.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about player strategies or coaching changes might also impact the market. Furthermore, general tennis news and analysis, as well as public sentiment, can all contribute to price movements. A strong performance by either player in a preceding match, or even comments from analysts, could all cause traders to reassess their positions and adjust their trades.