TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 11:20 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Martin Soukal and Liam Delicata in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Martin Soukal' if Martin Soukal advances against Liam Delicata. This market will resolve to 'Liam Delicata' if Liam Delicata advances against Martin Soukal. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Martin Soukal and Liam Delicata in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Martin Soukal' if Martin Soukal advances against Liam Delicata. This market will resolve to 'Liam Delicata' if Liam Delicata advances against Martin Soukal. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on models and internal analysis, while this market relies on individuals freely trading based on their own research and insights. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the odds can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, but it’s important to remember each represents a different form of forecasting.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is driven by supply and demand, reflecting the aggregated predictions of all participants. This dynamic pricing allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Heraklion tennis match between Martin Soukal and Liam Delicata. The platform will verify the winner against publicly available and trusted sources to determine the final settlement of this market. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be eligible for payout based on their share holdings at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players could also impact sentiment. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate a shift in belief, potentially causing a rapid price movement. Monitoring tennis news and observing trading activity on Polymarket will be key to understanding potential catalysts for price changes in this market.