TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 12:34 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Martin Soukal and Fred Barnett in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Martin Soukal' if Martin Soukal advances against Fred Barnett. This market will resolve to 'Fred Barnett' if Fred Barnett advances against Martin Soukal. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Martin Soukal and Fred Barnett in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Martin Soukal' if Martin Soukal advances against Fred Barnett. This market will resolve to 'Fred Barnett' if Fred Barnett advances against Martin Soukal. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adapt to new information and changing sentiment. The current price indicates what traders collectively believe is the likelihood of a specific player winning the Heraklion tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Martin Soukal vs Fred Barnett match in Heraklion. Any official result published by the tournament organizers will be used to determine the winning outcome. Traders who held shares in the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at the time of resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. For example, reports of a minor injury to one of the players would likely increase the probability of their opponent winning. Unexpected weather forecasts affecting the match schedule could also cause movement. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants or shifts in broader tennis betting markets could influence the price, reflecting new information or changing perceptions of the players' chances.