TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 10:17 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Marco Bavaro and Justin Lenders in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marco Bavaro' if Marco Bavaro advances against Justin Lenders. This market will resolve to 'Justin Lenders' if Justin Lenders advances against Marco Bavaro. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Marco Bavaro and Justin Lenders in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marco Bavaro' if Marco Bavaro advances against Justin Lenders. This market will resolve to 'Justin Lenders' if Justin Lenders advances against Marco Bavaro. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates the market's aggregated assessment of each player’s chances of winning the match, influenced by factors like recent performance, head-to-head records, and any available news or updates.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Heraklion tennis match between Marco Bavaro and Justin Lenders. The platform will verify the winner against established tennis authorities and publicly available match data to determine the final settlement of this market. The outcome will be determined by which player ultimately wins the match according to official tournament results.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or unexpected performance in other matches could shift trader sentiment. A strong showing by either player in a preceding round of the tournament, or even reports of their training regimen, could also impact the odds. Unexpected weather conditions at the tournament location or significant changes in betting patterns could also contribute to movement in this market, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.