TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Sports
M15 Heraklion: Marco Bavaro vs Justin Lenders
polymarket

What is the result of Marco Bavaro vs Justin Lenders?

Volume:
$11

M15 Heraklion: Marco Bavaro vs Justin Lenders

 - Polymarket

M15 Heraklion: Marco Bavaro vs Justin Lenders - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 13, 2026

Closed: Oct 13, 10:17 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

M15 Heraklion: Marco Bavaro vs Justin Lenders

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$11
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M15 Heraklion: Marco Bavaro vs Justin Lenders Set Handicap +/-1.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M15 Heraklion: Marco Bavaro vs Justin Lenders Set Handicap +/-1.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This market refers to the tennis match between Marco Bavaro and Justin Lenders in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marco Bavaro' if Marco Bavaro advances against Justin Lenders. This market will resolve to 'Justin Lenders' if Justin Lenders advances against Marco Bavaro. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Marco Bavaro and Justin Lenders in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marco Bavaro' if Marco Bavaro advances against Justin Lenders. This market will resolve to 'Justin Lenders' if Justin Lenders advances against Marco Bavaro. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their money behind their beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the odds can be a useful exercise for informed bettors, but it's important to remember that both represent probabilities based on different methodologies.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates the market's aggregated assessment of each player’s chances of winning the match, influenced by factors like recent performance, head-to-head records, and any available news or updates.

This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Heraklion tennis match between Marco Bavaro and Justin Lenders. The platform will verify the winner against established tennis authorities and publicly available match data to determine the final settlement of this market. The outcome will be determined by which player ultimately wins the match according to official tournament results.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or unexpected performance in other matches could shift trader sentiment. A strong showing by either player in a preceding round of the tournament, or even reports of their training regimen, could also impact the odds. Unexpected weather conditions at the tournament location or significant changes in betting patterns could also contribute to movement in this market, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.