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$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
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2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 11:18 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Luka Talan Lopatic and Mathieu Scaglia in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luka Talan Lopatic' if Luka Talan Lopatic advances against Mathieu Scaglia. This market will resolve to 'Mathieu Scaglia' if Mathieu Scaglia advances against Luka Talan Lopatic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Luka Talan Lopatic and Mathieu Scaglia in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luka Talan Lopatic' if Luka Talan Lopatic advances against Mathieu Scaglia. This market will resolve to 'Mathieu Scaglia' if Mathieu Scaglia advances against Luka Talan Lopatic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to participate and express their beliefs about the likely outcome. It’s common to see differences emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Comparing these odds can provide valuable insights into the perceived probabilities of each player winning the Heraklion tennis match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Heraklion tennis match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, ultimately reflecting the market's consensus probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The higher the demand for shares representing a particular outcome, the higher the price will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated to reflect the latest information and trader sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Heraklion tennis match between Luka Talan Lopatic and Mathieu Scaglia. The platform will verify the winner against publicly available and trusted sources to ensure an accurate and impartial determination. This ensures a fair and transparent resolution process for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated performance statistics could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in tennis rankings, might also play a role. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create short-term price movements, reflecting their informed opinions on the likely outcome of the Heraklion tennis match.