TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 9:33 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Luka Talan Lopatic and Ammar Elamin in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luka Talan Lopatic' if Luka Talan Lopatic advances against Ammar Elamin. This market will resolve to 'Ammar Elamin' if Ammar Elamin advances against Luka Talan Lopatic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Luka Talan Lopatic and Ammar Elamin in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luka Talan Lopatic' if Luka Talan Lopatic advances against Ammar Elamin. This market will resolve to 'Ammar Elamin' if Ammar Elamin advances against Luka Talan Lopatic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their positions based on new information and their own analysis, which in turn affects the market price. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of shares representing that outcome will climb, and vice versa. This creates a dynamic and responsive pricing system.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Heraklion tennis match between Luka Talan Lopatic and Ammar Elamin. The platform will verify the winner of the match against established sports data sources to determine the winning outcome of this market. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on their holdings in the winning share(s).
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even updated rankings could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in earlier matches of the tournament could also impact perceptions of player form and confidence. Furthermore, significant betting activity or analysis from prominent tennis experts could also lead to price movements. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market effectively.