TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 10:23 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Liam Delicata and William Nolan in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Liam Delicata' if Liam Delicata advances against William Nolan. This market will resolve to 'William Nolan' if William Nolan advances against Liam Delicata. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Liam Delicata and William Nolan in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Liam Delicata' if Liam Delicata advances against William Nolan. This market will resolve to 'William Nolan' if William Nolan advances against Liam Delicata. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows a broader range of participants to express their beliefs, potentially incorporating information not immediately captured by traditional oddsmakers. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, access to information, or biases among participants. It’s common to see prediction market odds shift as new information becomes available, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities than those offered by sportsbooks, though this is not always the case.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the share price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of those trading on Polymarket, offering a real-time assessment of the potential result of the Delicata vs Nolan match.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Delicata vs Nolan match, as determined by the governing body of the competition. The platform will verify the outcome against publicly available and reliable sources to ensure accuracy and fairness. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final result. It is important to monitor the official sources for the most up-to-date information regarding the match and its resolution.
Several signals or events could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding the players' form, injuries, or changes in strategy could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements related to the match schedule or venue could also cause shifts in the market. Furthermore, broader developments within the sport, such as changes in ranking or coaching staff, could indirectly affect the outcome and, consequently, the market prices. Public sentiment and expert analysis, as reflected in media coverage, can also play a role in driving trading volume and price movements.