TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 3:34 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Liam Delicata and Nikolai Marin in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Liam Delicata' if Liam Delicata advances against Nikolai Marin. This market will resolve to 'Nikolai Marin' if Nikolai Marin advances against Liam Delicata. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Liam Delicata and Nikolai Marin in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Liam Delicata' if Liam Delicata advances against Nikolai Marin. This market will resolve to 'Nikolai Marin' if Nikolai Marin advances against Liam Delicata. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Delicata vs Marin match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective probability assigned to each possible result. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates the market's expectation of the likelihood of a particular player winning, and traders adjust their positions accordingly, driving price discovery.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Delicata vs Marin match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which shares will pay out, and the amount paid will depend on the final result of the match.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated match analysis from tennis experts could shift market sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in tennis performance, might also cause traders to reassess their positions. Significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could also lead to noticeable price movements.