TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 12:32 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Leo Gutjahr and Alex Zuckerman in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Leo Gutjahr' if Leo Gutjahr advances against Alex Zuckerman. This market will resolve to 'Alex Zuckerman' if Alex Zuckerman advances against Leo Gutjahr. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Leo Gutjahr and Alex Zuckerman in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Leo Gutjahr' if Leo Gutjahr advances against Alex Zuckerman. This market will resolve to 'Alex Zuckerman' if Alex Zuckerman advances against Leo Gutjahr. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous exchange where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined entirely by supply and demand, driven by the collective intelligence of the traders participating on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Heraklion match between Leo Gutjahr and Alex Zuckerman. The platform will verify the result against widely accepted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be entitled to payouts based on the final market prices at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or tactical changes could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about playing conditions or even weather forecasts could also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity from informed traders or large volume purchases could indicate a change in perceived probabilities. Monitoring these signals and analyzing their potential impact is key to understanding how this market might evolve leading up to Oct 18, 2026.