TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 10:17 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Konstantinos Loukopoulos and Leo Gutjahr in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Konstantinos Loukopoulos' if Konstantinos Loukopoulos advances against Leo Gutjahr. This market will resolve to 'Leo Gutjahr' if Leo Gutjahr advances against Konstantinos Loukopoulos. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Konstantinos Loukopoulos and Leo Gutjahr in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Konstantinos Loukopoulos' if Konstantinos Loukopoulos advances against Leo Gutjahr. This market will resolve to 'Leo Gutjahr' if Leo Gutjahr advances against Konstantinos Loukopoulos. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price will fluctuate based on supply and demand; if more traders believe a particular player will win, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities accordingly.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Heraklion tennis match between Konstantinos Loukopoulos and Leo Gutjahr. The platform will rely on established sports data providers to determine the winner and finalize the market. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader tournament upsets, might also impact the probabilities. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create short-term price movements. Monitoring tennis news and observing trading volume will be key to understanding potential shifts in this market.