TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 1:33 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kiran Garapati and Gilberto Ravasio in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kiran Garapati' if Kiran Garapati advances against Gilberto Ravasio. This market will resolve to 'Gilberto Ravasio' if Gilberto Ravasio advances against Kiran Garapati. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kiran Garapati and Gilberto Ravasio in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kiran Garapati' if Kiran Garapati advances against Gilberto Ravasio. This market will resolve to 'Gilberto Ravasio' if Gilberto Ravasio advances against Kiran Garapati. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Heraklion tennis match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to represent the collective forecast. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the event approaches. The current price indicates what traders, as a group, believe is the likelihood of a specific result.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Heraklion tennis match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the tournament organizers. The winning player in the match will determine the outcome of this market. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the resolution is finalized and the outcome is officially confirmed. This ensures a transparent and verifiable process for settling the market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market leading up to Nov 1, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated match analysis from tennis experts could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even weather forecasts impacting the match schedule, could also cause significant price movements. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants on Polymarket could create short-term volatility. Monitoring these signals can help you understand the potential catalysts for future price changes.