TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$245,601,049
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,405,322
408,349
Markets across
39,583
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,443
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 9:32 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Justin Lenders and Gilberto Ravasio in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Justin Lenders' if Justin Lenders advances against Gilberto Ravasio. This market will resolve to 'Gilberto Ravasio' if Gilberto Ravasio advances against Justin Lenders. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Justin Lenders and Gilberto Ravasio in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Justin Lenders' if Justin Lenders advances against Gilberto Ravasio. This market will resolve to 'Gilberto Ravasio' if Gilberto Ravasio advances against Justin Lenders. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Lenders vs Ravasio match. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are influenced by news, analysis, and overall market sentiment, creating a dynamic and responsive pricing system. This allows for a real-time assessment of the perceived likelihood of each player winning.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Lenders vs Ravasio match as determined by the tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final share price at resolution. It is important to monitor the event timeline as the resolution date approaches.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Nov 2, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing surface conditions, or updated match analyses from tennis experts could influence trading activity. Unexpected weather forecasts impacting the match schedule could also cause shifts in the odds. Furthermore, significant bets from well-known or respected traders on Polymarket might trigger follow-on buying or selling pressure. Monitoring tennis news sources and observing trading volume will be key to understanding potential market movements leading up to the match.