TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 12:36 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Julio Cesar Porras and Victor Kalaitzis in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Julio Cesar Porras' if Julio Cesar Porras advances against Victor Kalaitzis. This market will resolve to 'Victor Kalaitzis' if Victor Kalaitzis advances against Julio Cesar Porras. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Julio Cesar Porras and Victor Kalaitzis in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Julio Cesar Porras' if Julio Cesar Porras advances against Victor Kalaitzis. This market will resolve to 'Victor Kalaitzis' if Victor Kalaitzis advances against Julio Cesar Porras. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the match's potential results. The current price reflects the aggregated predictions of all traders on the platform, offering a unique perspective on the likely winner of the Heraklion tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Julio Cesar Porras vs Victor Kalaitzis tennis match in Heraklion. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning player. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final market prices at resolution. It’s important to monitor the event schedule and official results to understand when the market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or even weather forecasts impacting the match schedule, could also cause price movements. Monitoring tennis news sources and paying attention to any developments related to the players' preparation and form will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in this market.