TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 5:44 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Julio Cesar Porras and Snir Morag in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Julio Cesar Porras' if Julio Cesar Porras advances against Snir Morag. This market will resolve to 'Snir Morag' if Snir Morag advances against Julio Cesar Porras. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Julio Cesar Porras and Snir Morag in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Julio Cesar Porras' if Julio Cesar Porras advances against Snir Morag. This market will resolve to 'Snir Morag' if Snir Morag advances against Julio Cesar Porras. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or public perception. Sportsbooks typically set initial lines to balance betting action, while this market allows participants to directly express their beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant information emerges or as the event draws closer. Examining these differences can offer insights into where the crowd believes the value lies compared to professional oddsmakers.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Heraklion tennis match between Julio Cesar Porras and Snir Morag. The platform will rely on widely accepted sources to determine the winner, ensuring a transparent and accurate settlement process. Traders should monitor official tournament results to understand how this market will be finalized and ensure they are aware of the timeline for payout.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather), or updated rankings could all shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even commentary from tennis analysts, might also impact trader sentiment. Any information that alters the assessment of each player's chances of winning is likely to cause fluctuations in the market price, creating opportunities for informed traders to adjust their positions.