TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 9:33 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Julio Cesar Porras and Marco Bavaro in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Julio Cesar Porras' if Julio Cesar Porras advances against Marco Bavaro. This market will resolve to 'Marco Bavaro' if Marco Bavaro advances against Julio Cesar Porras. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Julio Cesar Porras and Marco Bavaro in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Julio Cesar Porras' if Julio Cesar Porras advances against Marco Bavaro. This market will resolve to 'Marco Bavaro' if Marco Bavaro advances against Julio Cesar Porras. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts accordingly, providing a real-time assessment of the event’s likelihood. The market’s price movements are driven by the collective intelligence of the traders, making it a dynamic and informative indicator of potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Porras vs Bavaro match, as declared by the relevant sporting authority. The platform will verify the outcome against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. The process aims to be objective and based on publicly available information.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 26, 2026. News regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimes, or even pre-match analysis from respected boxing commentators could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about fighter weight or condition can also have a significant impact. Furthermore, any public statements from either fighter or their teams could be interpreted as signals of confidence or concern, driving volume and price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding the market’s movements.