TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 12:34 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Joseph Roboly and David Doherty in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Joseph Roboly' if Joseph Roboly advances against David Doherty. This market will resolve to 'David Doherty' if David Doherty advances against Joseph Roboly. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Joseph Roboly and David Doherty in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Joseph Roboly' if Joseph Roboly advances against David Doherty. This market will resolve to 'David Doherty' if David Doherty advances against Joseph Roboly. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Roboly vs Doherty match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, directly reflecting the collective probability assigned to each possible result. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current implied probability of a specific outcome is determined by the share price; a higher price indicates greater confidence in that outcome. This dynamic pricing allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Roboly vs Doherty match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be determined by the official score reported by the tournament organizers. The platform will then verify the outcome against these sources to determine which shares will pay out, and at what value. Traders should monitor official sources for the match result as this will dictate the final settlement of this market.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries to Joseph Roboly or David Doherty would likely cause a shift in the odds. Updates on their recent performance, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions at the match location could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about playing surface changes or tournament rules might also impact the perceived probabilities, leading to increased trading volume and price fluctuations in this market.