TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 6:48 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jose Dominguez Alonso and Dylan Leeman in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jose Dominguez Alonso' if Jose Dominguez Alonso advances against Dylan Leeman. This market will resolve to 'Dylan Leeman' if Dylan Leeman advances against Jose Dominguez Alonso. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jose Dominguez Alonso and Dylan Leeman in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jose Dominguez Alonso' if Jose Dominguez Alonso advances against Dylan Leeman. This market will resolve to 'Dylan Leeman' if Dylan Leeman advances against Jose Dominguez Alonso. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates insights from individuals with varying levels of knowledge and expertise. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook odds, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the event's likelihood. The current trading volume indicates the level of interest and conviction surrounding each possible result.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Dominguez Alonso vs Leeman match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the result and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the outcome. It’s important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available information to ensure a fair and transparent outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding the players’ form, potential injuries, or changes in coaching strategies could significantly impact trading activity. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or shifts in public opinion based on expert analysis, could also drive price changes. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants on Polymarket could create short-term volatility. Monitoring these signals and events will be crucial for understanding the evolving dynamics of this market before it resolves.