TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
This market refers to the tennis match between Jose Dominguez Alonso and Alex Michael in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jose Dominguez Alonso' if Jose Dominguez Alonso advances against Alex Michael. This market will resolve to 'Alex Michael' if Alex Michael advances against Jose Dominguez Alonso. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jose Dominguez Alonso and Alex Michael in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jose Dominguez Alonso' if Jose Dominguez Alonso advances against Alex Michael. This market will resolve to 'Alex Michael' if Alex Michael advances against Jose Dominguez Alonso. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on expert analysis and incorporate a margin for profit, while this market allows traders to collectively assess the probabilities. If prediction market odds significantly diverge from sportsbook odds, it may indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event. However, it's important to remember that both represent different perspectives on the likely outcome, and neither is guaranteed to be accurate.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Heraklion tennis match between Jose Dominguez Alonso and Alex Michael. Once the official results are available, Polymarket will determine the winning outcome and settle the market accordingly. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players could also shift expectations. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, potentially driven by expert analysis or social media discussion, could lead to increased trading volume and price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential movements in this market.