TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
This market refers to the tennis match between Jordan Hasson and Benjamin Gusic Wan in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jordan Hasson' if Jordan Hasson advances against Benjamin Gusic Wan. This market will resolve to 'Benjamin Gusic Wan' if Benjamin Gusic Wan advances against Jordan Hasson. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jordan Hasson and Benjamin Gusic Wan in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jordan Hasson' if Jordan Hasson advances against Benjamin Gusic Wan. This market will resolve to 'Benjamin Gusic Wan' if Benjamin Gusic Wan advances against Jordan Hasson. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market’s odds are determined by the collective predictions of traders. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before a significant amount of trading occurs. These differences can arise from varying levels of information, biases, or simply differing interpretations of the athletes’ capabilities. Observing these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated and responsive to the latest developments surrounding the Heraklion tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Jordan Hasson vs Benjamin Gusic Wan tennis match in Heraklion. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available sources, such as official tournament websites and sports news outlets. This ensures a transparent and reliable resolution process, reflecting the actual result of the competition.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, such as injury reports or recent match results for Jordan Hasson or Benjamin Gusic Wan, could significantly shift the probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions in Heraklion on the day of the match could also play a role, as certain players may perform better in specific conditions. Finally, significant trading volume driven by new information or a change in public sentiment could also cause noticeable movements in the market price.