TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 7:14 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jordan Hasson and Ammar Elamin in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jordan Hasson' if Jordan Hasson advances against Ammar Elamin. This market will resolve to 'Ammar Elamin' if Ammar Elamin advances against Jordan Hasson. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jordan Hasson and Ammar Elamin in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jordan Hasson' if Jordan Hasson advances against Ammar Elamin. This market will resolve to 'Ammar Elamin' if Ammar Elamin advances against Jordan Hasson. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially differing from those set by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market relies on individuals freely trading based on their own analysis. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when public sentiment strongly deviates from the sportsbook's initial assessment. Examining these differences can reveal insights into where the crowd believes sportsbooks may be mispricing the probability of certain outcomes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice-versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price reflects the aggregate assessment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time forecast of the match’s result. This is a forward-looking indicator, constantly adjusting to new information.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Jordan Hasson vs Ammar Elamin match as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before Oct 16, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated match statistics could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player form or tactical changes could also lead to price movements. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate a shift in expectations. Monitoring these signals and analyzing their potential impact on the match outcome is crucial for understanding how this market might evolve in the coming days.