TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 9:33 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Joao Mendes and Georgios Mitalas in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Joao Mendes' if Joao Mendes advances against Georgios Mitalas. This market will resolve to 'Georgios Mitalas' if Georgios Mitalas advances against Joao Mendes. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Joao Mendes and Georgios Mitalas in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Joao Mendes' if Joao Mendes advances against Georgios Mitalas. This market will resolve to 'Georgios Mitalas' if Georgios Mitalas advances against Joao Mendes. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market aggregates the beliefs of a diverse group of forecasters. If a significant discrepancy exists between the implied probability on Polymarket and traditional sportsbooks, it could indicate that prediction market traders have access to information or insights not yet fully incorporated into sportsbook lines. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither guarantees the actual outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective prediction. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to new information and changing sentiment surrounding the Mendes vs Mitalas match.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Joao Mendes vs Georgios Mitalas match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for the final match results as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 26, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in prior matches for either player, or even analysis of their head-to-head record, could also impact the market. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, perhaps driven by expert commentary or social media discussion, can also contribute to price movements. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential trading opportunities.