TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 5:45 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jiri Cizek and Daniel Rat in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jiri Cizek' if Jiri Cizek advances against Daniel Rat. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Rat' if Daniel Rat advances against Jiri Cizek. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jiri Cizek and Daniel Rat in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jiri Cizek' if Jiri Cizek advances against Daniel Rat. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Rat' if Daniel Rat advances against Jiri Cizek. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is driven entirely by supply and demand, with traders adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis of the Cizek vs Rat match.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the match between Jiri Cizek and Daniel Rat, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. Following the match's completion, the platform will verify the result and settle the market accordingly, distributing payouts to traders who correctly predicted the outcome. This ensures a transparent and verifiable resolution process for all participants.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Nov 2, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated rankings could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader tennis news, might also impact the perceived probabilities. Furthermore, large trades from influential market participants could create short-term price movements, as others react to those signals. Monitoring these factors can provide insights into potential shifts in the market's direction.