TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 8:57 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jeremy Gschwendtner and Alexandre Reco in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jeremy Gschwendtner' if Jeremy Gschwendtner advances against Alexandre Reco. This market will resolve to 'Alexandre Reco' if Alexandre Reco advances against Jeremy Gschwendtner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jeremy Gschwendtner and Alexandre Reco in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jeremy Gschwendtner' if Jeremy Gschwendtner advances against Alexandre Reco. This market will resolve to 'Alexandre Reco' if Alexandre Reco advances against Jeremy Gschwendtner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of people believe one player will win, the odds on Polymarket will shift accordingly, potentially diverging from initial sportsbook lines. It's common to see prediction markets outperform traditional forecasts, especially when there's strong public interest and informed trading activity surrounding the Heraklion tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Jeremy Gschwendtner versus Alexandre Reco tennis match in Heraklion. The platform will verify the winner against publicly available and trusted sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual result. The outcome of this market will be determined by the official match results, and the shares will be settled accordingly following verification.
Several signals could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions in Heraklion, or reports on the players’ recent performance in other matches, could also significantly impact the odds. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket by informed traders could cause noticeable price movements. Monitoring tennis news and analyzing player statistics will be key to understanding potential catalysts that could move this market regarding the Heraklion tennis match.