TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 11:20 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jan Smrcka and Louis Tessa in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jan Smrcka' if Jan Smrcka advances against Louis Tessa. This market will resolve to 'Louis Tessa' if Louis Tessa advances against Jan Smrcka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jan Smrcka and Louis Tessa in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jan Smrcka' if Jan Smrcka advances against Louis Tessa. This market will resolve to 'Louis Tessa' if Louis Tessa advances against Jan Smrcka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, reflecting a higher perceived likelihood. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, providing a real-time assessment of expectations for the Smrcka vs Tessa match. The current price reflects the aggregated views of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Smrcka vs Tessa match, as declared by the governing body of the competition. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who hold shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution. The platform ensures a clear and objective determination of the market’s outcome.
Several signals or events could influence trading activity and move this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or strategic announcements from either Smrcka or Tessa could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected results in related matches or tournaments could also shift market sentiment. Furthermore, large trading volumes from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in expectations regarding the Smrcka vs Tessa match. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding potential price movements.