TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 9:41 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jan Sadzik and Pavlos Tsitsipas in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jan Sadzik' if Jan Sadzik advances against Pavlos Tsitsipas. This market will resolve to 'Pavlos Tsitsipas' if Pavlos Tsitsipas advances against Jan Sadzik. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jan Sadzik and Pavlos Tsitsipas in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jan Sadzik' if Jan Sadzik advances against Pavlos Tsitsipas. This market will resolve to 'Pavlos Tsitsipas' if Pavlos Tsitsipas advances against Jan Sadzik. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like promotional offers or biases, while this market is driven purely by traders’ willingness to buy or sell based on their individual assessments. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public perception shifts. Comparing these odds can offer a broader perspective on the anticipated outcome of the Sadzik vs Tsitsipas match, and potentially identify value bets.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The higher the demand for shares representing a specific player winning, the higher the price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants trading on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Sadzik vs Tsitsipas match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The player declared the winner by the official source will determine the winning outcome for this market. Traders should monitor official sources for confirmation of the match result and subsequent market settlement.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market leading up to Nov 5, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public opinion could cause the odds to shift. Unexpected announcements about player form or strategic changes could also impact trading volume and price. Monitoring tennis news and social media sentiment surrounding the Sadzik vs Tsitsipas match will be key to understanding potential market movements.