TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 9:37 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jan Sadzik and Alexander Chang in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jan Sadzik' if Jan Sadzik advances against Alexander Chang. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Chang' if Alexander Chang advances against Jan Sadzik. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jan Sadzik and Alexander Chang in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jan Sadzik' if Jan Sadzik advances against Alexander Chang. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Chang' if Alexander Chang advances against Jan Sadzik. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Sadzik vs Chang match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing ensures the market odds reflect the aggregated opinions of all participants.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sadzik vs Chang match, as reported by the governing body for M15 Heraklion. The platform will then determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will settle.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries to either Jan Sadzik or Alexander Chang, or changes in playing conditions could all impact the perceived probability of each outcome. Unexpected announcements related to the M15 Heraklion tournament, or even broader trends in tennis performance, could also move the market. Significant trading volume itself can also create momentum, driving prices up or down as traders react to each other’s actions.