TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$192,072,993
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,842,388,377
408,027
Markets across
40,419
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 12:36 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between James Pikkaart and TAKUMI KATSUDA in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'James Pikkaart' if James Pikkaart advances against TAKUMI KATSUDA. This market will resolve to 'TAKUMI KATSUDA' if TAKUMI KATSUDA advances against James Pikkaart. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between James Pikkaart and TAKUMI KATSUDA in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'James Pikkaart' if James Pikkaart advances against TAKUMI KATSUDA. This market will resolve to 'TAKUMI KATSUDA' if TAKUMI KATSUDA advances against James Pikkaart. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares purchased for a particular outcome, the higher its price rises, indicating increased confidence from market participants. Conversely, selling shares lowers the price, suggesting decreasing confidence. This dynamic process ensures that the market price continuously adjusts to incorporate new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the James Pikkaart versus TAKUMI KATSUDA match, as determined by the governing body of the M15 Heraklion tournament. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or broader developments within the M15 Heraklion tournament, could also play a role. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create short-term price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments will be crucial for understanding how this market evolves leading up to Oct 18, 2026.